Ugly Moose Ak’s “Wisdom Of The Donut Hole” Podcast Episode 3

Episode 3:   Alaska True To Life Crime Author Ron Walden … Cinch Knot: Pigs, Petroleum & Politics, The Plot To Nuke The Trans Alaska Pipeline   

                                                                           © ugly moose AK (2-08-2024)

 

Podcast Episode 3 of Book #1

Cinch Knot: Pigs, Petroleum and Politics,

The Plot To Nuke The Trans Alaska Pipeline

Copyright 1996 By Ron Walden

Author Of Alaska True To Life Crime And Other Stories

Ugly Moose Alaska Publishing, Soldotna, Alaska

 

 


Podcast Episode 3 of Book #1

Cinch Knot: Pigs, Petroleum and Politics,

The Plot To Nuke The Trans Alaska Pipeline



Welcome back to The Wisdom of the Donut Hole Podcast by Ugly Moose Alaska. The podcast about books by Alaska True to Life Crime Author Ron Walden. Look for us on your favorite platform. Subscribe, like and tell your friends! Be sure to visit Ronwalden.com to see all the books and order yours directly from there. They make great gifts!

 

This episode is about Ron’s very first book: “Cinch Knot…Pigs, Politics and Petroleum. A Multinational Plot To Nuke The Trans Alaska Pipeline” Copyright 1996, 2nd Edition Copyright 2023.  

    Cinch Knot is the first of more than a dozen exciting, family friendly books Ron has written. They feature crime and adventure stories loaded with places bursting with history, characters and plots of interest to all ages. There’s no gratuitous violence or rough language, just good stories readers of any age can enjoy. 

    Podcasts take you to real places, mainly in Alaska, to meet characters featured in his books and how they came to be. Our goal is to post a new episode monthly, if not more often.

    Ron’s books are available wherever books are sold, including hometown bookstores and online. Ron’s arranged special pricing for wholesale buyers through Ingram Spark. Ask for his books if you don’t see them on shelves.  And Thank You for giving us a try.

 



                                                            Trans Alaska Pipeline photo By I, Luca Galuzzi                      




                                                             Map By Flominator - Excerpt Alaska 90.jpg

 

    I owe a huge thanks to a book club in Anchorage, Alaska. They provided a cordial, direct review. In the context of their perspective it makes sense that Cinch Knot needs historical perspective for today’s readers. They articulated good points regarding Ron’s first novel. Ron continues to improve with each book and has a nice following. In this episode I’m gonna tell the story of how Cinch Knot came to be as historical events unfolded in the 1990s, and how it remains relevant today in light of current events. Readers 50 and older familiar with 1990s technology global events may recognize and accept time-hops in stories easier having familiarity with the era, historical impetus and limited technical resources of the day. 

If you’re under 30, you likely weren’t born by Cinch Knots’ 1996 publication.  Certainly not old enough to recall the circumstances supporting its plot. 

    Not long after publication, an entertainment industry person was rumored to have considered Cinch Knot for a script possibility. Over the years, others in that industry have bought Ron’s books. I’ve always hoped one of them would run with it. There are so many great stories in Ron’s library, with a new one coming later this year that’s sure to garner attention.

    Today’s dictatorial scoundrels are again inspired to take advantage of circumstances to re-possess countries and resources they’d relinquished or even sold generations ago. Only this time, not as a work of fiction. Same problems. Different eras. Different excuses. Read Cinch Knot. Decide for yourself. Root for bad guys if you choose. By the end you’ll appreciate the good guys.

    Published in 1996, Cinch Knot is the culmination of a decade of global events. Nearly 30 years later an update wouldn’t take much more than dollar figures. That and the speed, quality and type of information technology that’s available. Those were the Pony Express in the 90s compared to Virtual Reality, Zoom Classes, smartphones, DMs and AI of today.

    The 1990s gave us mainly two-way line-of-sight radios, maybe a few mobile repeaters, bulky vehicle mounted mobile phones with limited range, drivers relaying correspondence pouches by truck 500 miles one-way to Fairbanks for delivery beyond there.GPS was “Classified” as it had an impressive 50-meter accuracy window. Now we have real time “Turn at the Next Stop Sign in 30-feet” type of accuracy in our SUVs, sedans and Electric Vehicles.

    Real people flew missions in aircraft from carriers or distant bases. Not much drone work back then in the Middle East or in defense of Alaska airspace. Certainly no operations flown by college students behind a gaming system monitor tweaking a joystick.

    Dictators, Politicians, Cartels, OPEC and other organized gangs ruled the day. Russian and Middle East conspirators? Those are movie bad guys. Not really a threat, right? Believe it or not, Russia has never stopped loitering long range aircraft within a few miles of the US border along Alaska’s coast. This includes bombers, fighters and marine patrol aircraft. It’s still their weekly mission, apparently.

The USAF does a fine job of reminding them where the “No Trespassing” signs are, though. Do an internet search for US intercepts of Russian aircraft near Alaska. It’s the norm, not the exception. Complacency opens doors. Our military has not been complacent. Even the Chinese “weather” balloon was detected quicker than NORAD tracking Santa on Christmas Eve.

Cinch Knot posits what-ifs: What if those Russian pilots had orders from corrupt commanders to disregard the No Trespassing signs and warnings?  What if those pilots were ordered to use weekly intrusions as a Plan B, in the event nuking the pipeline using an inspection pig failed.

Just a couple years before publishing Cinch Knot’s 1st Edition, the Middle East literally exploded with Saddam Hussein’s tyrannical antics and greed. He murdered his own countrymen for decades to eliminate any perceived opposition. Even interrupting his own party’s official parliamentary sessions to force rivals to confess complicity in opposing him.

In one session alone, 50 conspirators were revealed by one man. They were marched away one at a time by the Red Guard, Hussein’s personal defense force. The remaining opposition not named as conspirators were forcibly armed with pistols and ordered to execute their named colleagues, to make them complicit in Hussein’s crimes.

When oil became a volatile gold mine under OPEC pricing combined with the sometimes-self-inflicted global shortages, he invaded his neighbor: The Kingdom of Kuwait. Maybe he actually believed his Red Guard combined with his own pompous, egotistical and sadistic bullying of his own country would keep world forces fearful and at bay.

That worked for about a month.

He’d plotted to drive oil prices higher by reducing supplies while stockpiling his own by stealing Kuwait’s, using his invasion of Kuwait to reduce competition at the same time.

Realizing he’d committed a Middle East faux pas with the invasion, he ordered troops to torch the Kuwaiti oil fields he’d just boosted. If he couldn’t have ‘em, no one could. The price leaped higher under OPEC.

In military parlance, he successfully executed a jumbo FUBAR. Geysers of oil-fueled fire and billowing black clouds continued for nearly a year before the final well was capped.

A month or so after Hussein had initially triggered events, US Army General Schwartzkopf and the rest of the good guys restored a semblance of normalcy.

OPEC again began manipulating crude prices at warp speed.

Within 6 months the amazing footage of the bombing of Baghdad kept the world up late watching Bernie, Wolf and other reporters dodge tracers and SCUDS. Soon, Hussein was spider-holed and later hanged by his own countrymen.

If you don’t know who “Baghdad Bob” is, AKA “Chemical” or “Comical Ali”; who Bernie or Wolf is; what a tracer or SCUD is; what a Patriot Missile System or a Spider Hole is, you may need some historical background of what happened before Cinch Knot was drafted.

A couple years later, in 1993, the first World Trade Center terrorist attack was carried out. A truck bomb detonated under the North Tower, intended to send it crashing into its twin, taking down both. Intended to kill tens of thousands of people, it failed to cause catastrophic damage. It did kill six people, caused thousands of injuries and the evacuation of about 50,000 people.

Afghani Al-Qaeda terrorists, some with Iraqi passports, had traveled through Pakistan to New York. They executed the attack with help from local conspirators. They claimed they intended to kill about 250,000 people in revenge for US support of Israel regarding Palestine.

Those references, along with timelines and global oil fluctuation info are in our Show Notes. It all contributed to Ron drafting Cinch Knot as a very real possibility in the late 1990s.

Simultaneously, cartels, gangs and others were infiltrating National Parks in get-rich schemes of their own with massive marijuana grow operations during the “Just Say No” generation.

Long before Americans could skip lightly down the block to buy an elevating batch of cannabis, cartels and gangs turned national parks into farmland and pesticide waste dumps. They were doing business with just about anyone they could profit from, in any way that improved profits. They still do.

Cinch Knot describes fictional efforts and responses to those factions including complicity of government officials in schemes involving both oil and drugs, including the lowly marijuana. Sometimes processes and organizations are more harmful than any perceived ills of products. Organizations know people won’t always “Just Say No” when they want something or can profit from it.

The invasion of National Parks is less obtrusive now. Likely more local too, and surely more business savvy. Still deadly in terms of people and environmental damage. Traffickers use Parks as routes for human trafficking, even slavery to work crops or in even worse capacities, to work off border crossing costs.

Reading this novel from 1996 where the price of oil is less than a tank of gas today, even when terrorists and criminals had inflated costs by a factor of three, you can believe organizations including OPEC, street gangs and even politicians were thick as thieves.

Together, they were complicit in doing anything to get in your pocket, even artificially boosting per barrel prices from $9 to $30 averages, to $30 to $100 or more per barrel. Gasoline was costlier and the shady elements were richer.

Interdiction resources distracted by National Park grow operations and other crimes thinned response resources. Spread the wealth, conspire as a distraction.

Today, under special interest and political thumbs, your pocket is ripe for picking again with $75 to $100 or more per barrel oil, on average. This adds another factor of 3 or more per barrel than in the 1996 Cinch Knot plot.

Back then, plot overhead included oil tankers as floating holding tanks, full crews and security, technical services, nuclear and military resources, bribes and profits. Billions expended were recouped under seemingly low, but inflated prices along with a tidy shared profit for years to come. That was the goal.

Greed and corruption are the unknown factors in oil valuation, especially when conspirators arbitrarily set global daily prices anyway.

Look at factors used today to estimate annual per-barrel profit or loss.  In 2023, State of Alaska revenue estimates used a calculation assuming a direct annual impact of $70 Million Dollars per each $1-per-barrel fluctuation in oil price. Every one dollar change in price per barrel, sends a $70Million dollar tide change through economies.

A $1 increase in a barrel of oil’s price is a possible $70 Million-dollar profit.

A $1 drop in a barrel of oil’s price is a possible $70 million-dollar loss.

The new Alaska Willow Project, which is tiny in comparison to Prudhoe Bay and Texas fields, is expected to produce 600 million barrels of oil over its 10-year life. A daily production of about 180,000 barrels is expected.

At $30 per barrel, the daily gross revenue could be about $5.5Million bucks. Every day. For at least 10 years. Imagine the Cinch Knot opportunity that little field could have!

A $70Million impact per $1-dollar fluctuation in per barrel oil value means that tiny Willow Project has less than a $400 million-dollar revenue loss to Alaska before production; but a $1.3 Billion-dollar revenue or profit over the 10-year field life. Small project, big profit. That’s just Alaska’s revenue from the project. The real profit goes to developers and producers in exponentially larger dollar amounts. And Feds get their cut, too. Fossil fuel phobias be damned.

Today, we can buy legal pot. It’s sourced somewhere for profit. If anyone believes government decriminalization reduces criminal involvement, they must have at least a contact high. Especially when a government legalizes by tying it to taxation. Like oil and pot.

Create a problem to solve, manipulate the cost and benefit in favor of a planned outcome. Sounds like Cinch Knot’s plot way back when.

See Show Notes for details on OPEC, the 1990’s weekly oil price gouging, Saddam “Spider Hole” Hussein, National Park invasions and terroristic behavior to accomplish manipulation of global markets.

The dawn of our existence with artificially high oil prices and dreams of everything electric are by-products of events from the decade leading up to Cinch Knot. It’s just grown from there.

Add artificially inflated fossil fuel and coal costs, production and transportation interference, export suspensions and bans, red-tape in permitting, federal lease and export shut downs that inflate costs forcibly and before you know it, the manipulation helps make Electric Vehicles appear cost-competitive and ready to go by 2030.

EVs aren’t likely to be competitive or even reasonable replacements by 2030 without manipulation. Like it or not, fossil fuel resources are likely here to stay in spite of political grandstanding.

Climate change is a separate issue. Cinch Knot doesn’t preach. It simply asks what-if, using real world and market manipulation in its day. Money and votes appear to be prime drivers in all cases today, as in the 1990’s. That’s what drives the plot of Cinch Knot.

The difference is wind and solar were science fiction daydreams as replacements for fossil fuels in the 90s. Free wind and free sun, like most free stuff is just too darned expensive. Lucrative though or it wouldn’t be forced so acutely.

Remember. These opinions are premised on a work of fiction, not reality. They’re meant to provide context to a 40-year-old issue and encourage readers to enjoy the ride Cinch Knot provides.

So, buy an EV. Buy an SUV. It’s your choice, for now.  Later… in 2030 or so, not so much.

The folks that know this is true will profit unless someone, even a “Nobody”, like an oil field security worker with a few critical skills, stands up and says: “Nope, something has to be done”.

Cinch Knot’s characters do just that.  Read Cinch Knot with a view of a Pre-9-11 world.

9-11 was the second terrorist attack on the World Trade Center and wouldn’t even happen until 5 years after publication. But Cinch Knot foretold some pretty solid scenarios. Some of those continue to coincide with needs for border protections to keep bad actors out, and even international strategies protecting critical infrastructure and obviously, economies.

Now, what about the oil fields and pipelines themselves. Is Pigging really a thing? And could it be used nefariously?

Oil was discovered in Prudhoe Bay in 1968. Pipeline construction began in 1973 at a cost of about eight billion dollars. Every day saw innovations that hadn’t existed before. A 500-mile road between Fairbanks and Deadhorse near Prudhoe Bay was completed in 1974.

The first oil left the North Slope’s Pump Station One in 1977 to travel 800 miles to the ice-free port of Valdez on the Gulf of Alaska.

Land and Marine mammals have always been protected and preserved as priorities since day one. Pollution is almost unheard of on the North Slope. Even accidental spills are thoroughly returned to pre-spill environment and habitat. Indigenous lifestyles and wildlife are always priorities.

At under 215,000 acres, Prudhoe Bay is the largest field in North America. It originally held about 25 billion barrels of oil. Recoverable amounts in that field alone were more than double the size of the next largest in the US, the East Texas Fields.

Crude comes from depths through permafrost, routes into the 4-foot diameter pipeline, flows through 12 pump stations, two being flow-through only. Each station has two operating pumps and one standby, powered by turbine engines generating power for pump station facilities.

Crude requires additives to reduce friction and tumbling of oil inside the pipe. Friction heats it naturally to between 70 and 80 degrees. Oil moves safely from the frozen North, across tundra, rivers, mountains and valleys to the Valdez Marine Terminal where it is stored in huge tanks, where supertankers are gravity fed through miles of pipes for shipping.

Alaska’s economy is based on the price of a barrel of oil. Neither Alaska nor producers dictate market prices. Many factors contribute, the largest being the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries or OPEC, a Middle East group of producers, the largest reserve holders on the planet.

OPEC holds the power to dictate world oil prices. Their track record of frequent price manipulation and production quotas has been less than exemplary.

Unstable governments, Middle East strife, roller-coaster prices, production quotas, loss of tax incentives, oil depletion taxes and many other ills make it tougher than necessary to produce and sell crude. Political interference and angling globally can force oil-dependent societies like Alaska, into feast or famine existences. Even into possible victimization if a Cinch Knot style plot were to succeed. US Politics exacerbates that.

In the 90’s of Cinch Knot’s era, rumors soared of layoffs and cutbacks when oil dropped 30% to $6 to $9 per barrel. Still profitable, just not enough profit for some.

Advances in today’s directional drilling technology create more and better options for smaller operational footprints. Remote, pristine areas can be reached directionally without a full presence on critical habitat. A plus for the environment.  Permitting should be much simpler, but it’s vilified and delayed.

In “Cinch Knot”, readers get a front row seat and an exciting ride with civilian and government agencies working together to derail an international plot-for-profit trying to destroy infrastructure of the United States and Alaska.

 This actually happened in 2022, in Europe. A series of underwater explosions and gas leaks occurred on the Nord Stream 1 and 2 pipelines.  This happened just one day before Poland and Norway opened a pipe through Denmark rather than through land of Nord pipeline owner Russia. Leaks were in international waters, but within economic zones of Denmark and Sweden.

The uproar we see in today’s news was captured in Ron’s book from 1996. A Multinational Plot to destroy a pipeline sounds as familiar today as it did in the 1990’s. The difference? The value of a barrel of oil.

Imagine Cinch Knot only in today’s values, economy and environmental concern. This story is based on real events of the 90s. It culminates in a terrifying multi-pronged scenario no one wants to have happen. But it did, minus the nuke as far as we know, with Nord Stream 1 and 2.

The players even resemble Cinch Knot conspirators. The ongoing importance of oil fields and related products to the US are immeasurable. A portion of North Slope fields are designated Strategic National Reserves intended to fuel US infrastructure, economy and military resources in emergencies.

This happened in the 1990’s and as recently as 2023 when policies reduced production and the nation depended on that reserve, even selling some internationally. America shines bright on the world stage partly because of its ability to rely on its own energy resources. Those have to be protected. Cinch Knot assumed they would be and provided the means to do so.

OPEC and other organizations lost a stranglehold on the US with development Alaska’s North Slope fields and Pipeline. If the pipeline and fields were lost, damaged or made unusable, world economies would see massive shifts.

The US could sink as a world power. Allies could seek partners elsewhere. Enemies could gain significant ground. Maybe they’d even feel froggy enough to try to re-possess what’s no longer theirs. Sound familiar?

A small cabal, properly positioned with good technology, aggressive resources and time could change the financial history of the world. A single bad act in a single day using a low yield nuke with a Plan B, even gradual deterioration due to poor maintenance due to misinformation by a pigging company, could reduce the US to energy subservience.

Pump Stations keep oil moving and detect anomalies along every inch. That depends on subcontracted, outside agencies and technology.

The exterior is continuously inspected and maintained. Deficits are repaired immediately. The inside is different. How do you see inside a steel pipe 4-feet in diameter, generally filled every day with unprocessed crude? Every inch of pipeline must be in top condition every second, every hour, every day. That’s where Pigging comes in.

Pigs diagramed in Cinch Knot are as they existed in 1996. Technology was advanced for the day. It’s improved exponentially since then. There’s usually little corrosion in the Pipeline. The Pipeline Service Company has run corrosion detection pigs through from the start to extend the minimum 30-year lifespan.

When an inspection is scheduled, a Pig ships from Japan through U.S. Customs in Anchorage. It’s dismantled and inspected for contraband. That process takes a full month. The pig is sealed in a custom container and trucked over 500 miles to the North Slope for final installation of on-board power and technology.

Pigging is done by the Japanese company’s technicians. Pig run info is translated and evaluated at company labs in Japan. Data is sent to Alyeska in Anchorage to compare previous data.

Ultrasonic pigs detect corrosion early for quicker, simpler mitigation. They weigh 6600 pounds and are 10 feet long. Onboard technology sorts masses of information, electronically divides pipe into small grids and transmits signals every 15mm the entire 800-mile trip, while traveling at about 10 feet per second.

 Onboard computers analyze data and report corrosion. Data is retrieved at a couple Pump Stations, equipment refreshed and re-launched to continue to Valdez.

Inspections detected over 1,800 anomalies as of 1996 when Cinch Knot was published. Some required exhumation and repair of miles of pipeline.

As written in Cinch Knot, a service company conspirator could be able to onboard a nuke device by having it appear as updated technology.

Show Notes include links to an FBI.gov multi-part article “North To Alaska Part 4, The Shot That Pierced the Trans-Alaska Pipeline.”  It describes an event that demonstrated how well the pipeline and it’s operators can respond to the unexpected. The article describes what’s possibly the US’s likeliest vulnerability to energy sector damage: “just somebody being stupid.”

October 2001. Near Livengood, Alaska: A man shot a single hole into the Pipeline near the base of a gentle rise. Strong pipe pressure spewed 285,000 gallons of oil 75-feet in the air, soaking tundra. The pipeline was shut down 3 days while workers fixed the leak.

That single shot shut down the pipeline, delaying delivery of nearly 3 million barrels of oil in under a week. No well-planned plot. No low yield nuke. No Plan B foreign airborne assaaullts. No planning or organized details. No pre-determined goals. No billions stolen. No harm to speak of.

The man was no terrorist. Police reported he was “just somebody being stupid.” A hunter and alcohol. Nothing deeper than that. Imagine a low-level nuclear detonation in a flowing pipeline in this remote part of the world. 800 miles of oil under pressure, dumping from 4-foot diameter openings along a miles-long gap of pipeline.  Environmental damage would be catastrophic. Years of repairs and loss of energy to our country.  

Without that resource, the world economy again implodes under stress of arbitrary prices. The Middle East already controls OPEC. Today, with this scenario, OPEC could control world supply with Russia, China, Iran and North Korea. 

Oil has been safely produced, flowing through pipelines and distributed for over 50 years from the North Slope. Alaska’s only been a state for 65 years, as of 2024.

After Ron retired from Alaska Department of Corrections, he provided security at pump stations along the Alaska Pipeline route. World events influenced fuel price hikes and other events planted the seed for his novel Cinch Knot.

 

Having never written a novel before, but having it on his bucket list, Ron researched and drafted a manuscript. A first-time author, he knew it would be rough. He learned what he could and made his best effort. Along the way he got some informal coaching from a few authors we’d all read. Some local, some in-state, others broadly known.

 

He realized the scenarios he’d settled on were quite possible, even probable. He sought oil industry and military experts to review and critique ideas. Some expressed concern scenarios had merit and maybe hadn’t been fully considered in ongoing response planning and protocols. They ran a few scenarios and had many discussions before tactics appeared in this book.  

 

The most unbelievable parts of this book are the changes in the value of oil. It’s been 50 years since the Trans Alaska Pipeline began carrying oil to keep America strong, providing reserves for infrastructure and protection of our country.

 

In 30 years, young adults reading a story published today about most anything, aren’t likely to recall much of today’s history that keeps a story relevant. Technology doesn’t require that. Just Google it.

 

Cinch Knot is a good story. Better when considered in the context of its day and that it remains relevant today. Every generation has elites that plan to profit from disaster. They might even perpetuate fear of disaster to prosper. Create a problem to solve. Circumstantial dependence. There’s no reset. Just a prescribed path one is told to follow.

 

Fortunately, there are elements protecting us from such elitists. Cinch Knot presents a story where an average guy, with average friends and educated associates won’t give up. Won’t be shamed or threatened into inaction. They see the broader dangers and act.

 

That’s a good story.

 

The internet went from a military and corporate asset to kindergarten Zoom classes and nanny cams overnight. A car can drive itself. Civilians can build and launch spacecraft for low orbit tourism, leaving hot air balloon rides and bungy jumping in the dust.

 

So as you read Cinch Knot, relax and step back 30 years. Technologically anyway.

 

As in the novel, some information had to be delivered first hand, depending on sensitivity. Email, texts, digital smartphones, even digital radio systems were yet to come.

 

Now they’re embedded in our lives. Still built from fossil fuels and byproducts, though. 

 

The new fears of global warming or it’s alias, climate change, can be consequential. To what scale is debatable.

 

Small planes, commercial airlines, telephones and face-to-face meetings were the norm in the 90s. No Zoom meetings, no Facetime. Just people talking to people. Alaska is massive. And wealthy. But the communication system across the State is still weak.

 

Developing this story included getting clearance and help from the Air Force Public Affairs Office to enter a military base to chat with fighter pilots and detection officers about possible new scenarios affecting US airspace and protection of Alaska’s boundaries and resources. Try that today. There’s even a Space Force Base in Alaska now.

 

Ron’s imagination combined with ground truth resulted in fictional scenarios that sounded too extreme to ever be used to devastate the largest State in the Union, environmentally or financially. Ron visited industry and defense experts and developed a great story to engage readers as far as it can without becoming sensational or even dangerous.

 

This novel “Cinch Knot” Pigs, Politics & Petroleum, the Multinational Plot to Nuke the Trans Alaska Pipeline is on sale wherever books are sold.

 

Check your hometown bookstores and online, including: RonWalden.com, Booksamillion.com, BarnesandNoble.com and many more.

 

Ask for the books in your local stores if you don’t see them. Shopping locally is always best.

 

Next time, we will return with Ron’s 2nd novel. This one from 2009:

“Devil’s Heart” Native American Lore and Modern Police Work (Pursuit of a serial killer). You’ll love this book!

  


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Order your books today.  Check out RonWalden.com for a look at covers and a synopsis of each book.

You can order them directly from there too. It’s very simple and they make great gifts.

 

I’m your host, Scott Walden.

 

Read Ron’s Books! Subscribe and like our Podcasts!

 

And Visit Alaska!

 

Episode Transcripts and show notes are downloaded and available at wisdomofthedonutholeblog.blogspot.com

 

(Thanks to Ray Lankford for the show’s theme music titled “The Wisdom of the Donut Hole Theme” an instrumental written, performed and provided with permission by Ray Lankford of Shoshone County Idaho…Look for more of Ray’s music on his website “Ray Lankford Music and Writing”)

 

Thank you for listening.

 

 

 

 

Ron Walden, Author Of Alaska True To Life Crime And Other Stories

Ugly Moose Alaska Publishing, Soldotna, Alaska

(Cut and Paste links to Browser to directly order any book):

Cinch Knot

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Devils Heart 

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Ice Blue Eyes

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Blue Sky Green Grass  

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Poachers Paradise 

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Easy Come, Easy Go 

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Geezer Squad  

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Wyatt Earp V  

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Fish Wars  

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Getting Even  

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Brothers of the Badge  

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Penny Files  

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Flying Blind  

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The Fishing Hole 

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Episode 3Trailer:

 


Musk Ox in defensive formation

Permission: This image or recording is the work of a U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service employee, taken or made as part of that person's official duties. As a work of the U.S. federal government, the image is in the public domain. For more information, see the Fish and Wildlife Service copyright policy.

 

Hello, I’m Scott Walden your host of the “Wisdom of the Donut Hole” Podcasts by Ugly Moose Alaska Publishing.

 

It’s the podcast about books by True to Life Alaska Crime Author Ron Walden. We want to thank you for reading the books and for Listening to our podcasts on your favorite platform! I wanted to take a minute to answer a couple questions I’m often asked.

 

First, Why call a podcast about an Alaska Author The Wisdom of the Donut Hole? Well, Ron’s a big believer in the meaning of The Wisdom of the Donut Hole. He encourages everyone to appreciate what they have, and to choose Optimism over Pessimism. It’s and old saying that goes like this: 

As you ramble through Life, Brother, Whatever be your goal.

Keep your eye upon the doughnut, And not upon the hole.

 

So enjoy what you’ve and stay optimistic. Life’s more enjoyable that way.

 

So, Why Book Publishing And Podcasts By Ugly Moose Alaska?  Ugly Moose Alaska’s trademark and logo for products is a Musk Ox.  Seen on business cards, banners, websites, brand items and book covers, the Ugly Moose trademark and logo causes people to take a second look. They ask questions like “Why is that Ugly Moose not a moose?”  It generates interest and opportunity to introduce folks to Ron’s books, where they find great stories and interesting information about Alaska. We enjoy sparking interest in visiting our amazing State. We’re very proud of it.

 

Ugly Moose is a respectful translation of northern Alaskan and Canadian indigenous dialects, in which the term “Musk Ox” can be interpreted as “Ugly Moose”.  Ancient animals with long, thick coats of hair hanging nearly to the ground, they appear Mammoth-like. Smaller than bison, they have horns that curl tightly against the sides of their large compact heads. The musky scent they exude adds to the name.

 

Brushed properly, the fine insulating fur deep in their coats is ultra soft and warm. Woven into a fine yarn-like material, called qiviut by indigenous experts, it’s the warmest, softest material from one of the toughest mammals to call Alaska’s frigid far-north home.

 

Ugly Moose are durable and protective of family. They’re Versatile, Stubborn and determined. Ron’s friends will tell you “Ugly Moose Alaska” is the perfect name for his publishing and podcasts.  And the moral of the Wisdom of the Donut Hole its Ron perfectly.  Podcast Episode Transcripts, show notes and lots of additional information for episodes are posted at: Wisdomofthedonutholeblog.blogspot.com

 

That site includes Ron’s Book Covers, story related photos, Alaska photos and maps, interesting side-stories, Links about places in his books and unique history associated with his stories. Even links to learn more about Musk Ox. The Bearded Ones...Our own Ugly Moose Alaska.  When you visit Alaska, visit Alaska Musk Ox farm in Palmer, Alaska for an up close, memorable experience.  Go to www.muskoxfarm.org. and then check out more musk ox Links in our show notes.

 

Listen to The Wisdom of the Donut Hole Podcast On your favorite platform. Subscribe, like and tell your friends.

 

Episode 3 is coming up very soon. It’s about his very first book: “Cinch Knot.. The Plot To Nuke The Trans Alaska Pipeline”.  Look for links in Show Notes to 1990s world events leading up to Cinch Knot.  From Middle East strife, OPEC price manipulation and oil shortages, the first World Trade Center terrorist attack and other pertinent history there to help frame Cinch Knot’s story line.

 

Order your books today.  Check out RonWalden.com for a look at covers and a synopsis of each book.  You can order them directly from there too. They make great gifts.

 

I’m your host, Scott Walden. Read Ron’s Books! Subscribe and like the Podcasts!  And Visit Alaska!

 

Thanks for listening. Episode 3 is coming soon!

 

SHOW NOTES

Ugly Moose Alaska Wisdom of the Donut Hole Podcast Episode 3 “Cinch Knot”

 

“ABSCAM” Sting              https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abscam

ABSCAM:

How could congressmen be part of a global conspiracy as written in Cinch Knot? Though not the basis for Cinch Knot, the ABSCAM Sting is a good example. It happened less than 15 years before Cinch Knot’s plot unfolded.

Summary: "ABSCAM" an FBI codename, a contraction of "Abdul Scam", Abdul the name of the FBI’s fictitious company. The sting in the late 70s - early 80s led to convictions of Congressmen and others, including State officials, for bribery and corruption. The investigation was started to investigate theft, forgery and stolen art, but evolved into a public corruption investigation.

FBI and US Department of Justice hired a convicted con artist informant and his girlfriend to help plan and conduct the operation. In exchange, the FBI agreed to let them out on probation, rather than prison. They videotaped politicians taking bribes from a fake Arab company in return for political favors.

Under FBI supervision, the conman created the fake company Abdul Enterprises. FBI employees posed as Arab sheikhs with millions to invest in the US. FBI set up a million-dollar account at Chase Manhattan Bank as Abdul Enterprises, giving the company credibility to further the operation.

When a forger under investigation suggested sheikhs invest in New Jersey casinos, that licensing could be obtained for a price, ABSCAM was re-directed to political corruption. Congressmen were bribed in for "private immigration bills" for foreigners associated with Abdul Enterprises to enter the country, building permits and licenses for Atlantic City casinos, among other arrangements.

The first political participant was Camden New Jersey’s mayor in exchange for kickbacks. He told sheikhs, "I'll give you Atlantic City." He helped recruit government officials and Congressmen to grant political favors for bribes as low as $50,000. FBI recorded exchanges, making history being first to surreptitiously videotape government officials accepting bribes.

Aircraft And Bush Pilots In Alaska

https://www.businessinsider.com/why-alaska-bush-pilots-are-essential-in-the-state-2022-1?op=1

https://dot.alaska.gov/stwdav/

https://bush-air.com/bushflying-intro.htm

https://nationalaviation.org/our-enshrinees/wien-noel/

https://www.mensjournal.com/adventure/deadly-myth-alaskan-bush-pilot

https://www.historynet.com/flying-on-the-edge-alaskas-legendary-bush-pilots/?f

 

Alaska Department of Revenue ConocoPhillips Willow Project Revenue Calculation per barrel

https://alaskapublic.org/2023/03/24/new-revenue-estimate-for-willow-project-presents-rosier-picture-for-alaska-treasury/

 

Cinch Knot: Ron’s Dedication Of Cinch Knot:       

“Cinch Knot is dedicated to the men and women who conceived, designed, engineered, constructed, and operate the Trans Alaska Pipeline. They represent every American, who have (given), and continue to give of themselves to ensure our country maintains a position of strength in protecting the worldwide environment and freedom of people everywhere, while still providing the highest standard of living history has ever recorded.

In the course of writing this book I received a great deal of help and advice from many people. I have tried to provide accurate technical information within the story. In accumulating this information, I called on so many individuals it would be impossible to acknowledge all, but every one of you has my thanks.

The personnel of the Alyeska Pipeline Service Company were wonderful in providing information. My thanks to the people of their Public Information Office for their assistance, and for the written and video materials they provided.

I also thank the Public Affairs Office at Elmendorf Air Force Base (now Joint Base Elmendorf, USAF, and Richardson, US Army) for arranging interviews with Captain Brad Davis, an F-15 pilot. He helped correct some errors in the book and provided tactical advice. I also extend my thanks Captain Troy Jackson of the Radar Section. He provided a great deal of information that added realism to the text.

I owe a debt of gratitude to the many security officers with whom I worked during my tenure on the pipeline. Many of the experiences quoted in this work are composites of stories told to me by those men and women. These people are still out there doing their jobs. They are professionals, providing a service in an environment too inhospitable for most of Mother Nature’s creatures. Each of you have my sincere gratitude and admiration.

Cinch Knot is a work of fiction. Any resemblance to actual persons, living or dead, is purely coincidental and unintentional. Except for the obvious inclusion of such broad categories of geography of Alaska, the Trans Alaska Pipeline and its environs, and other cities worldwide, the places are products of the author’s imagination. Historical events surrounding the operation of the pipeline provide the backdrop for the story; but none of the story in this book should be construed as being a factual part of those events.”

 

Generations: Millennials, Baby Boomers Or GenZ: Which One Are You And What Does If mean?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/bitesize/articles/zf8j92p

 

Musk Ox https://www.muskoxfarm.org

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Muskox#/media/File:MuskOxen.jpg

National Parks: Drug Production on Public Lands – A Growing Problem; House Hearing, 108th Congress; U.S. Government Publishing Office

https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/CHRG-108hhrg93426/html/CHRG-108hhrg93426.htm

National Parks: The Secret Life of Drugs in Parks | National Parks Traveler

https://www.nationalparkstraveler.org/2007/09/secret-life-drugs-parks

National; Parks: Drug Control: DEA's Strategies and Operations in the 1990s

https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/GAOREPORTS-GGD-99-108/html/GAOREPORTS-GGD-99-108.htm

National Parks: War on Drugs – Wikipedia  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_on_drugs

National Parks: Wild West: Drug cartels thrive in US national parks - CSMonitor.com https://www.csmonitor.com/2003/0610/p01s03-usgn.html

National Parks: Marijuana Farms Take Root In National Parks – NPR https://www.npr.org/2009/05/12/103866520/marijuana-farms-take-root-in-national-parks

Nord Stream pipeline sabotage 2022  

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Nord_Stream_pipeline_sabotage

Prudhoe Bay Field history 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prudhoe_Bay_Oil_Field

Saddam Hussein: how a deadly purge of opponents set up his ruthless dictatorship

https://theconversation.com/saddam-hussein-how-a-deadly-purge-of-opponents-set-up-his-ruthless-dictatorship-120748

Trans Alaska Pipeline Pigs in the Pipeline (Quirky Attraction. Static Display)

https://quirkytravelguy.com/quirky-attraction-trans-alaska-alyeska-pipeline/

Trans Alaska Pipeline Shooting Damage

https://outlookseries.com/A0990/Security/3925_Daniel_Lewis_Shot_Pierced_Trans-Alaska_Pipeline.htm

Trans Alaska Pipeline shooting FBI- North To Alaska

https://www.fbi.gov/news/stories/north-to-alaska-part-4

Trans Alaska Pipeline Map By Flominator - Excerpt from Alaska 90.jpg with additional information from:

http://www.solcomhouse.com/AKMap3.gif, CC BY-SA 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=201869

Trans Alaska Pipeline photo By I, Luca Galuzzi, CC BY-SA 2.5, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=2161622

World Events 1991-1996 – USA Today

https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2020/09/06/the-worlds-most-important-event-every-year-since-1920/113604790/

World History 1994-1995: https://www.historycentral.com/dates/1994.html

World Oil Market Chronology 1990–1999 – Wikipedia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1990%E2%80%931999_world_oil_market_chronologyWORLD HISTORY 1994-1995

1990-1991: America Goes to War in Middle East Saudi Arabia and Kuwait

Saddam Hussein invades, occupies Kuwait August 1990. US defends Saudi Arabia, protects vital oil assets (Operation Desert Shield). U.S. Operation Desert Storm to push Iraqi forces back across border from Kuwait, Military operation lasts until ceasefire in April.

1992: Cold War Ends. Weeks after dissolution of Soviet Union, President George H.W. Bush & Russian President Boris Yeltsin formally declare end of Cold War that began at end of World War II. Countries announced they’d stop aiming nuclear missiles at each other. Russia declares 11 former communist satellite republics from Armenia to Uzbekistan, independent.

1993: EU a Reality: European Union Treaty in effect. Allows U.K. & Denmark to opt out of common euro currency. Treaty opens way to remove border controls among member states, invites new members to join.

 

1994: NATO shoots down Serb Aircraft: NATO warned Bosnian Serbs to stay out of UN no-fly zone. Ultimatum ignored. NATO shot down four jets in First NATO combat action in 45-year history.

 

Civil War, Chechnya: Chechnya sought independence, like oher Soviet Union states had received. Russia claimed Chechnya as part of Russia, refused to give independence. War lasted two years.

 

1995: Domestic Terror. Oklahoma City: Deadliest domestic terrorist attack in U.S. history; Timothy McVeigh and Terry Nichols bomb Alfred P. Murrah Federal Building in truck-bomb attack on a weekday morning to maximize casualties. Murdered at least 168 people, including 19 kids in daycare; injured hundreds, McVeigh executed 2001. Nichols serving life without parole, later released into Witness Protection Program.

 

Israel Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin Assassinated: Succeeded by Shimon Peres. In 1996 election Peres lost to Benjamin Netanyahu.

 

Mexican Bailout: President Clinton invoked emergency powers, granted $20 billion bailout loan to Mexico.

1996: Cloning: Scottish scientists clone Dolly the Sheep using adult cells rather than embryonic, turning udder cell into nearly complete biological copy of Dolly.

1990 World Oil Market Chronology 1990-1999

Sources include: Dow Jones (DJ), Financial Times (FT), New York Times (NYT), and Platt's Oilgram News (PON), Washington Post (WP), and the Wall Street Journal (WSJ).

August 1990

·         Iraq invades Kuwait; President Bush orders troops to Saudi Arabia.

·         Crude prices soar; markets react wildly to any Middle East news. Cash markets dominate prices after trading hours; Jet fuel prices rose to record levels due to high defense demand.

·         OPEC fails to organize formal meetings to discuss crisis & production strategies; Informal meetings result in record price drops.

·         Conflicting reports promise increased OPEC output to compensate for embargo of Iraq and Kuwait oil, compounds market uncertainties. Market prices plunge. OPEC nears informal agreement to increase output to cover 4million barrel shortfall due to the invasion. Cash market trading has abrupt decline.

September 1990:

·         U.S. citizen shot in Kuwait.

·         4.4 Million barrels per week drawn from domestic crude stocks.

·         Oil markets surge on aggressive U.S. statements toward Iraq. Crude prices outpace increase in product prices.

·         Talk of cutting refinery runs. September reports poor refining margins. U.S. refinery issue lead to 200,000 barrels/day capacity loss.

·         Aggressive remarks by Saddam Hussein send crude prices to new highs.

·         Iraq invades Kuwait. French President calls it violation of international law. U.S. warship boards Iraqi-flagged tanker bound for Basrah. Saddam Hussein states willingness to strike first and intention to damage regional oil fields if Iraq strikes.

October 1990

·         Hussein says he may be willing to negotiate occupation of Kuwait and consider foreign participation in negotiations.

·         9million barrels/week drawn from U.S. SPR inventory. War fears and long-term supply disruptions rise as Hussein threatens Israel. News: crude inventories drop more than 4million barrels in a week.

·         Libya's Qadhafi: Israel must be eliminated U.K. Foreign Secretary says force to be used if Iraq doesn't withdraw from Kuwait.

November 1990

·         Increased Saudi production, lower world demand. Iran's oil-producing region suffers earthquake.

·         5Million barrels/week U.S. crude inventory increase.

·         Rumors Bush to announce supply airlift to U.S. embassy in Kuwait. Could trigger military clash.

·         Saudis ask U.S. for rights to bid on US SPR crude.

·         Iraq to bolster forces in Kuwait. Russia reluctant to endorse force against Iraq.

·         US crude inventory drop of more than 4Million barrels. 

·         Hussein announces plan to release German hostages.

·         France supports U.N. resolution to authorize use of force in Persian Gulf. U.S. proposes addition to U.N. resolution to require Iraq's withdrawal from Kuwait by January1. UN Security Council approves US resolution authorizing use of force in Persian Gulf if Iraq doesn’t withdraw from Kuwait by January 15, 1991. President Bush offers to send Secretary of State to Baghdad to meet with Hussein.

December 1990:

·         Iraq will withdraw if it retains control of the Rumaila Field and keep Bubiyan and Warbah Islands. Iraq demands Palestinian issue be treated separately, not given up. Iraq willing to speak with US to resolve Persian Gulf crisis. Secretary of State questions Iraq's seriousness on Middle East peace. President Bush reiterates "no concessions" stance against Iraq.

January 1991:

·         Iraq will accept U.S. offer of Geneva talks. Hussein prepares troops for “long, violent war” against US.  At Geneva, US Secretary of State: "regrettably" Iraq Foreign Minister indicated no softening in Iraq's position. Peace talks break down, but still talk of a peaceful solution. Report: Iraq has new peace initiative. US begins air attacks on Iraqi military targets. 

·         President Bush directs drawdown of SPR. US Secretary of Energy orders 33.75Million barrel drawdown. Crude prices drop $9–10 per barrel in a day after rising $3–5 per barrel in the first half of January.

·         Early US/allied success against Iraqi forces. 

·         Department of Energy issues SPR sales notice.

·         Iraqi Scud missiles land in Israel. Some Kuwaiti oil facilities destroyed by Iraq. More Iraqi missile attacks on Saudi Arabia.

·         US Department of Energy selects 13 firms to purchase 17.3Million barrels of SPR crude oil.

February 1991:

·         Surplus unsold oil held by oil producers reaches 80 to 90Million barrels. First SPR oil was delivered to commercial buyers.

·         Daily market volatility occurs as Hussein mentions withdrawal, President Bush calls offer a "cruel hoax."  

·         Iran crude now an option for US refiners. No imports from Iran likely in near future.

·         War ends February 28. UN troops move into Kuwait City. Hussein orders troops out of Kuwait. Iraqi soldiers ignite Kuwaiti oil fields during retreat.

March 1991:

·          Kuwait need to import crude in the short term. OPEC announces production cut to 22.3Million barrels. 6Million barrels weekly domestic crude inventory draw. Saudi Arabia and Iran say OPEC production cuts take effect April 1. Gorbachev says Soviet Union will cut oil exports by nearly half.  Nigerian crude becomes competitive in U.S. Gulf Coast as Nigeria cuts crude prices.

April 1991:

·         Iraq expects to resume crude and product exports by July.

June 1991:

·         Kuwait asks Gulf members to produce 800,000barrels per day on its behalf.

August 1991:

·         Unsuccessful coups attempt against Soviet President Gorbachev has minimal effect on oil markets.

October1991:

·         Russia suspends petroleum exports. Fuel shortages are growing.  Futures price climbs nearly $2, to $24 per barrel.

November1991:

·         Last Kuwait well fires extinguished.

·         U.S. Senate filibuster causes withdrawal of Arctic National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR) pro-leasing bill.

 December1991:

·         Russia collapses as series of events precipitated by Ukrainian independence vote leads to formation of Commonwealth of Independent States.

 January1992:

·         Kuwait oil production at 400,000 barrels/day. Insists restoration of pre-invasion OPEC quota of 1.5million barrels/day.

 March1992:

·         UN threatens sanctions on Libya for refusal to extradite suspected terrorists.

 May1992:

·         Saudi Arabia supports crude price hike at OPEC meeting. Futures prices exceed $22 per barrel.

 October 1992:

·         OPEC production at highest level in more than a decade: 25.25million barrels/day.

 December 1992:

·         US, Mexico and Canada sign NAFTA.

 July 1993:

·         Oil prices plunge. Speculation Iraq to accept UN missile test-site inspections to get approval to resume oil exports.

 November 1993:

·         Combined OPEC overproduction, surging North Sea output.  Weak demand lowers North Sea oil to nearly $15 per barrel.

 April 1994:

·         Oil Prices firm on strength of shifting of US investments from equity/bonds to cash/commodities.

Apr-September 1994:

·         Nigerian production disrupted by worker strike in response to imprisoning apparent winner of presidential elections.

 January 1995:

·         Mexico pledges profits from Pemex's $7-billion-per-year oil revenues in effort to secure US Congress approval of $40 billion of loan guarantees. President Clinton approved $20billion US aid package to Mexico.

·         Norway's Statoil announces new consortium of 11 oil companies to develop plan to supply Norwegian LNG to Europe. Three Norwegian companies sign contract with Gaz de France to bring Norwegian LNG to France between 2001 and 2027.

 February1995

·         Pentagon monitored Iranian installation of surface-to-air Hawk missiles in Strait of Hormuz. Iranians took possession of and fortified Abu Musa and the Tunb Islands claimed by Iran and United Arab Emirates

 June1995:

·         After OPEC meeting in Vienna, discloses OPEC's intention to exceed its crude oil production ceiling of 24.52 million barrels/day.  Announcement followed by trip to Norway by Saudi Arabian Oil Minister asking Norwegian Minister of Industry and Energy to restrain oil production in hopes of stabilizing world oil prices.

 

June1995

·         Exxon signs $15.2-billion deal to develop oil and gas fields near Russia's Sakhalin Island. Project will develop offshore fields estimated at 2.5 billion barrels of crude and 15 trillion cubic feet of LNG. Exxon has 30% stake in the project

 July 1995

·         Venezuela approves country's first investment law to allow foreign oil exploration and production. "Model agreement" authorizes state-owned oil company to offer 10 exploration blocks to foreign investors. If oil is discovered, government maintains majority stake in any joint venture to develop new fields.

·         Saudi Aramco awards giant Shaybah oil field development project to US based Parsons Corp. $2.5-billion project will develop the 7-billion-barrels field, including construction of oil production facilities, gas-oil separation plants and pipeline. Shaybah field is expected to produce 500 million barrels/day when online in 1999.

·         Norwegian Finance Minister says Norway should not lower crude production in attempt to boost world oil prices. Norwegian Oil Minister believes production cuts may be necessary if prices fall. Minister's remarks follow visit by Saudi Arabian Oil Minister to cut Norway's crude oil production

 August 1995:

·         Saudi King decrees replacing all members of Council of Ministers with no blood ties to the royal Family. Most of the council's top positions were unaffected. Oil Minister is replaced.

·         Iran's news agency reports Iran unable to sell 200 million barrels/day since imposition of unilateral oil embargo by US.  Iran sold crude oil on spot markets as opposed to long-term contracts. Large purchases by France, Spain, ItalyChinaIndiaPakistan and Thailand failed to offset decreased demand by German, Japanese refiners.

·         Before US embargo in April 1995, US companies bought 400,000 to 450 million barrels/day, down from 600 million barrels/day in 1994.

·         Kuwaiti Oil Minister announces country to increase oil production up to 3.5 million barrels/day by 2005

 September 1995:

·         Kuwait intends to seek 200-million-barrels/day increase to current 2-million-barrels/day crude production quota at November OPEC meeting in Vienna. Announcement comes amidst growing non-OPEC oil production and weak oil prices.

 November1995:

·         OPEC will exceed current oil production quota of 25.42 million barrels/day. Roll-over widely anticipated due to slack world demand, rising non-OPEC production and weak prices.

·         President Clinton approves legislation lifting 22-year-old ban on exports Alaskan North Slope oil. Ban was imposed after oil embargo by Arab producers in 1973. The lifted ban opens about one-quarter of US crude export production. Legislation also waives royalty payments on deep water oil and gas leases in the Gulf of Mexico.

 December1995:

·         In New York, Angolan of the state-owned oil company says Angola will increase crude production by 10 percent/year over five years, to 720 million barrels/day by the end of 1996 and 1 million barrels/day by 2001. Statement comes amidst sporadic violence between government forces and rebel group UNITA, less than a year after peace accord was signed ending the country's 20-year-old civil war. At the end of 1995, Angola raised its crude oil production to 690 million barrels per day

 January1996:

·         Iraq agrees to talks on UN plan to allow Iraqi sale of $1 billion of oil for 90 days for a 180-day trial period. UN Resolution 986: proceeds from sale to be used for humanitarian purposes. In past, Iraq opposed clauses stipulating oil exports under the plan pass through Iraq-Turkey pipeline, currently unusable due to sludge build-up and pump station damage. The line would take minimum of three months to repair. Clause 8b says some proceeds from sales would be disbursed under UN supervision to Kurdish provinces in northern Iraq.

·         Negotiations between Iraq and UN set February 1996. Commander of the US Fifth Fleet in the Persian Gulf says Iran test-fired new anti-ship missile near Strait of Hormuz January 6. Missile has range of 60 miles. Is viewed as threat to regional security by US naval forces.

·         Oil tankers carry about 15Million barrels/day through the Strait.

 April 1996:

·         UN & Iraq end 3rd round negotiations on Iraq's possible sale of $1 billion of oil for 90 days for a 180-day trial period. Proceeds would be used for humanitarian purposes. Both sides agreed on most issues, Iraqi negotiator says US and UK altered text of proposed agreement he received from UN earlier. Says changes postponed any possible deal. UN-Iraq talks to restart May 10.

·         President Clinton approves sale of $227 million of crude oil from SPR. Roughly 12 million barrels would be sold. Admin hopes sales will lower US gas prices from highest levels in five years.

 May1996:

·         UN and Iraq agree to UN Resolution 986, to sell $1 billion of oil for 90 days for a 180-day trial period, proceeds to be used for humanitarian purposes. Agreement comes after months of heated negotiations. Iraqi oil exports expected to begin by Fall1996, after pump station on the Iraq-Turkey pipeline is repaired and UN monitoring and aid facilities are in place. Shortly after agreement, the White House announces its decision to allow US oil companies to purchase Iraqi oil exports.

 June1996:

·         Exxon to begin work on $15-billion Sakhalin I oil and LNG development in Russia's Far East. Project to develop about 5 billion barrels of oil and 15 trillion cubic feet of LNG in three offshore fields. $300 million appraisal program to include drilling and exploration well and conducting 3D seismic survey. Will start working despite differences with Russia over country's new production sharing law, viewed as not offering adequate legal protection for foreign investment in the oil and gas sectors.

·         Venezuela approves eight, multibillion-dollar, profit-sharing deals allowing foreign oil companies to explore and produce oil in Venezuela for the first time since the country's 1975 nationalization of the industry. Deals could boost Venezuela's current oil production by 500,000 barrels/day by 2005. Foreign companies sign final deals with state-owned PdVSA within 10 days and begin work on new land by end of 1996. Eight blocks are estimated to hold between 7 and 11 billion barrels of light crude oil reserves.

 July1996:

·         OPEC issues resolution of Gabon's withdrawal from OPEC effective January 1, 1995. Gabon had OPEC quota of 287,000 barrels/day.

·         UN formally approves Iraqi aid distribution plan, major step forward in allowing Iraq to sell oil under Resolution 986.

 August 1996:

·         President Clinton signs bill imposing sanctions on non-US companies investing over $40 million/year in energy sectors of either Iran or Libya. By law, President required to impose at least two of the these sanctions: import and export bans; lending embargoes from U.S. banks; ban on U.S. procurement of goods and services from sanctioned companies; denial of U.S. export financing. EU opposed the law, threatened retaliation. Venezuelan subsidiary of state-owned Petroleos de Venezuela Corpoven, signs MOU with US-based ARCO. Provides $3.5-billion joint venture to develop and upgrade 200,000 barrels/day of crude oil from country's 270-billion Orinoco Heavy Oil Belt. Project to produce low API gravity crude oil in and upgrade it to higher API for U.S. refineries. Project to be implemented in three phases, the last completed in 2006. Another subsidiary signed similar deal with Conoco.

 September 1996:

·         US cruise-missile strikes on military facilities in southern Iraq; crude prices rise; market speculates when Iraq will begin exporting oil under UN Resolution 986. U.S. attack follows Iraqi-supported invasion of Kurdish safe havens in the northern area. President Clinton says UN oil-for-food sale should be postponed indefinitely.

 October 1996

·         Exxon confirms talks with Qatar on new tech to convert natural gas to petroleum products. Exxon developed a successful 200 barrel/day LNG refinery project in Texas, would work in Qatar. Proposed $1-billion plant could produce 50,000 to 100,000 barrels/day of distillate. Under the proposal, Qatar's North field would supply LNG as feedstock. Previous tech barriers and high costs precluded development of natural gas refineries.

 December 1996:

·         Iran says it supports free flow of oil through Strait of Hormuz; reserves option to close shipping if threatened. Iran admits deploying anti-aircraft, anti-ship missiles on an island near Strait of Hormuz's shipping lanes.

·         UN announces 21 contracts for limited Iraqi oil sales under UN Resolution 986. 43.68 million barrels of oil to be exported in the first 90 days of the sale. Exports of 26.37 million barrels approved for second 90-day sale period; allows Iraq to sell up to $1 billion of oil every 90 days for an initial 6-month period.

·         December 1996, Iraq restarted Kirkuk-Ceyhan pipeline to carry up to 450,000 barrels/day under sales agreements approved under UN Resolution 986. Iraq's remaining oil exports will flow through the Mina al-Bakr terminal.

 

February 1997:

·         Japan announces plans to cut import tariffs on crude and most petroleum products from April 1997, a phased process to reduce the country's crude oil import tariff rate to zero in April 2002.

·         Qatar opens world's largest LNG export facility, launches Qatar Liquefied Gas Co., with output capacity of 6 million tons per year LNG. Facilities part of new industrial zone includes sea port capacity to handle 25-30 million tons of LNG annually. Qatar plans more gas liquefaction plants to exploit natural gas reserves.

 April 1997:

·         Shell confirms it will declare force majeure at Nigerian Bonny terminal due to local protests that disrupted 210 million barrels/day of company oil production. Though protests ended and production returned to normal, backlog is temporarily delaying loading.

 May 1997:

·         Final agreement creating Caspian Pipeline Consortium signed by participants: Russia (24%), Kazakhstan (19%), Chevron Corp. (15%), Lukoil/Arco Corp. (12.5%), Mobil Corp. (7.5%), Rosneft/Shell Corp. (%), Oman (7%), Agip SpA (2%), British Gas PLC (2%), Oryx Corp. (1.75%), and Kazakhstan Pipeline Ventures (joint venture Kazakhstan's state oil company and Amoco Corp 1.75%).

·         Russian government plans transfer its stake to two Russian oil companies. CPC to begin building 932-mile pipeline to transport crude from the Caspian region to Russia's Black Sea coast in 1998 and begin shipping about 558 million barrels/day in 1999 (planned peak is 1.4 million barrels/day).

·         President Clinton signs executive order barring new US investment in Burma (Myanmar), effective May 21, renewable annually. U.S. companies invested about $250 million in Burma, primarily in oil and gas sector. Biggest US investor is Unocal, building with France's Total, a $1.2 billion pipeline from Burma's Yadana natural gas field to an electric power plant in Thailand.

 June 1997:

·         UN Security Council renews another 180-day period for Iraq "oil for food" initiative to sell $2 billion worth of oil to buy food, medicine and other necessities to alleviate civilian suffering under sanctions imposed when it invaded Kuwait in 1990.

 July 1997:

·         First oil shipments produced from Kazakhstan's Tengiz field arrive at terminals on the Black Sea in Russia and Georgia for export through the Bosphorus Strait. Volumes total 100,000 - 150 million barrels/day.

·         U.S. State Department rules Turkey's August 1996 agreement to purchase $23 billion of natural gas from Iran over 20-years does not violate Iran and Libya Sanctions Act. In a May 1997 an MOU with Iran and Turkmenistan, Turkey modified original arrangement so LNG will be purchased from Turkmenistan rather than Iran.

 August 1997:

·         Colombia: Occidental Petroleum, California-based oil company, and Colombia’s Eco petrol national oil company, declared force majeure on all oil exports from the Cano Limon field, after series of attacks since July knocked out a major pipeline transporting oil from the field to the Caribbean port of Covens. Pipeline attacked 45 times in 1997, equal number of 1996 attacks. Responsibility not determined; leftist guerrillas from the National Liberation Army are usually blamed. Force Majeure doesn’t apply to oil in the 2-million-barrels storage Covens facility.

·         UN approves sale-price formula for Iraqi crude oil under oil-for-food plan. Approval cleared way for Iraq to resume immediate limited oil exports through Turkish port on Mediterranean Sea and Iraq's Persian Gulf port of Mina al-Bakr. UN will review contracts for Iraqi crude oil purchases. Iraq has until September 5 to raise $1.07 billion allowed under existing 90-day oil-for-food plan window. Iraq says they will boost exports to 2 million barrels/day to meet sales target. Industry experts say Iraq's export capacity is untested beyond 1.4-million-barrels/day

 September 1997:

·         UN Security Council passes resolution allowing Iraq to reach $2.14 billion oil sales limit under oil-for-food program by December 5. Current 6-month oil sales window from June 8 to December 5 will split into 120-day and 60-day segments instead of two 90-day segments. During each segment Iraq can sell $1.07 billion of oil. Resolution should enable Iraq to make up for lost revenue during delay in start of oil sales during the first two months of the current six-month sale period.

 October 1997:

·         Iraq's Revolution Command Council, main decision-making body, announced it will no longer allow US citizens and US aircraft to serve on the UN arms inspection teams. Statement gives US citizens working with inspection teams one week to leave. Iraq also asked UN to stop flights by American aircraft monitoring compliance with UN resolutions on elimination of WMDs. In response, UN Security Council unanimously approves a statement condemning Iraq's threats to expel the Americans.

 November 1997:

·         Iraq's Revolution Command Council formally endorses an agreement arranged by Russia enabling UN weapons inspection teams to resume operations in Iraq. Deal ends a 3-week standoff between UN and Iraq since October when Iraq would no longer allow US citizens on UN weapons' inspection teams.

·         First time in four years, OPEC agrees to increase production ceiling, raising ceiling to 27.5 million barrels/day for the first half of 1998. New ceiling represents a 10 percent increase over current ceiling. New quotas in barrels/day: Saudi Arabia 8.76 million, Iraq 1.314 million; Venezuela 2.583 million; Nigeria 2.042 million; Indonesia 1.456 million; Kuwait 2.19 million; Libya 1.522 million; United Arab Emirates 2.366 million; Algeria 0.909 million; Qatar 0.414 million.

 December 1997:

·         Iraq UN Ambassador warns Iraq will not allow oil to flow during a third six-month phase of the UN's oil-for-food sale until UN approves an aid distribution plan. Despite the warning, UN Security Council approves a third six-month phase following the end of the second six-month phase. Like first two phases, third allows Iraq to sell up to $1.07 billion of oil in each of two 90-day periods. Sales level may be increased by Security Council January 1998 after UN Secretary-General reports on Iraq's needs. Next day, Iraq stops pumping oil into the Iraqi-Turkish pipeline at the end of the second six-month phase of the UN oil-for-food program.  

·         150 industrial nations at a UN climate conference in Japan agree on a protocol to control heat-trapping greenhouse gases. If ratified, would commit nations to roll back emissions of six greenhouse gases below 1990 levels. US would be required to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 7 percent below 1990 levels; Europe and Japan would cut 8 and 9 percent, respectively. Developing countries exempt from ceilings for the time being.

 January 1998:

·         Due to continuing Asian economic crisis, South Korea refiners cut operations to about 80% capacity. Refiners had difficulty securing crude in late January/February, which could cut operations to low as 70-75 % capacity.

·         Environmentalists hail implementation of a 50-year moratorium on Antarctic mining and oil exploration. Protocol for protection of Antarctic adopted by 26 countries in 1991 but couldn’t be implemented until Japan's ratification.  Antarctica has 70% of the world's fresh water. The moratorium attempts to preserve the world's least polluted continent.

 February 1998:

·         Federal judge denied environmentalists and Native Americans requests to block sale of the Elk Hills Naval Petroleum Reserve (NPR). U.S. Department of Energy formally transfers ownership of the reserve to Occidental Petroleum Corporation who bought 78% interest in the field. Chevron holds 22%. Elk Hills contains 450 million barrels of proven oil reserves; Occidental believe reserve may contain a billion barrels of recoverable reserves.

·         UN Security Council votes unanimously to more than double amount of oil Iraq can export under the UN oil-for-food program. Security Council vote increases the amount Iraq can export from $2.14 billion to $5.26 billion over six months. Iraq maintains it only has the capability to export up to $4 billion over a six-month period.

 March1998:

·         OPEC issues official release from 104th meeting in Vienna March 30, 1998; member countries agreed to voluntary cuts of each country's current production to boost oil prices. OPEC cuts totaling 1.245 million barrels/day effective April 1998. Cuts in barrels/day, break down as follows: Algeria 50,000; Indonesia 70,000; Iran 140,000; Kuwait 125, 000; Libya 80,000; Nigeria 125,000; Qatar 30,000; Saudi Arabia 300,000; United Arab Emirates 125,000; Venezuela 200,000. Non-OPEC oil-producing countries Mexico, Oman and Yemen agreed to cut production by 100,000, 30,000, and 20 million barrels per day respectively. Norway, a non-OPEC country, the world's third largest oil exporter, pledged to reduce oil production by 3 percent, about 100 million barrels/day). Norway's cuts take effect mid-April 1998.

 May1998:

·         ARCO announced it acquiring Union Texas Petroleum Holdings Incorporated, an independent oil company in Houston, Texas, for $2.47 billion. Acquisition adds 140 million barrels per day to ARCO's oil and natural gas production and increase ARCO's total oil and gas reserves by 14 percent. Deal helps ARCO enter the Caspian Sea region, gaining a 12.5 percent interest in the Caspian Pipeline Consortium and 5 percent interest in Kazakhstan's Tengiz oil field. ARCO gains additional interests in projects in the United Kingdome, Indonesia, Alaska and Venezuela.

·         India announced it conducted three underground nuclear tests, their first since 1974. Tests were conducted simultaneously 330 miles southwest of New Delhi, near the Pakistani border. Indian government says tests included a thermonuclear device, commonly known as a hydrogen bomb. Two days later, on May 13, 1998, India announced it conducted two more underground nuclear tests in the same desert range.

 June 1998:

·         UN Security Council approves resolution to allow Iraq to spend $300 million on spare parts for its oil industry. Funding intended to help Iraq increase oil exports under 4th phase of the UN oil-for-food program. Spare parts expected to expand Iraq's oil export capacity from to 1.8 million or 1.9 million barrels/day.

·         OPEC agreed at its 105th ministerial conference, to another round of oil production cuts. Recently oil prices fell to lowest levels in more than a decade. OPEC agreed to cut production by 1.355 million barrels/day effective July 1, 1998, bringing the total reductions since March 1998 to 2.6 million barrels/day. With promises from non-OPEC nations, world producers pledged cuts worldwide by about 3.1 million barrels/day 

 August 1998:

·         British Petroleum say it will acquire Amoco for $48.2 billion in stock. If the merger is approved by regulators and shareholders of both companies, it will be the largest oil industry merger and the largest foreign take-over of a U.S. company to date.

 October 1998

·         South Korea's oil refining sector fully deregulates, allowing 100% foreign investment. South Korea had expected to fully deregulate its refining industry by 1999, but decided to move the date to help reform its economy. 

·         EU nations approve accord that European car makers voluntarily agree to cut carbon dioxide emissions 25 percent by 2008. EU says they will seek similar deals with automakers in Asia and North America.

·         Japan's Nippon Oil, the country's second largest petroleum distributor and Mitsubishi Oil Company, the sixth-ranking company in the industry, agree to merge as of April 1, 1999. The combined company will be the largest oil distributor in Japan.

 December 1998

·         Exxon Corp agrees to buy Mobil for about $75.4 billion, making the largest corporation in the U.S. Companies say they expect to cut about 9,000 jobs from worldwide workforce and close offices, saving $730 million. Merger comes in the context of low oil prices, which hurt profits at many oil companies.

·         The Colombian government says it will allow gasoline and diesel prices to float with international oil prices starting January 1, 1999. The move will end a system of artificial price fixing which has cost the government more than $3.2 billion in subsidies over the past five years.

 

January 1999

·         British Petroleum and Amoco Corporation complete their $53 billion merger.

 February 1999:

·         Italy's ENI SpA and Russia's RAO Gazprom, the world's largest natural gas producer, agree to build a natural gas pipeline from Russia to Turkey at a cost of nearly $3 billion.

·         Each project partner will hold a 50 percent stake in the project.

·         The proposed pipeline, called the Blue Stream project, is expensive partly because it would run at great depth under the Black Sea.

·         U.S. Energy Secretary visits Saudi Arabia to discuss potential U.S. investment in the Kingdom's oil and gas sectors. Following his visit, Secretary Richardson says Saudis are primarily interested in foreign investment in the natural gas sector and oil refining and marketing sectors, rather than upstream crude oil sector.

March 1999: In an effort to raise oil prices, which fell sharply in late 1997 and stayed low through 1998 and into early 1999, OPEC and non-OPEC countries agree to cut oil output by combined 2.104 million barrels/day effective April 1, 1999, for one year. OPEC pledged to cut 1.716 million barrels/day. Several non-OPEC countries pledged total reductions of 388 million barrels/day

April 1999:

·         With arrival in Netherlands of two Libyan suspects in the 1988 bombing of PanAm Flight 103 that killed 270 people, UN sanctions against Libya are suspended. Sanctions imposed March 31, 1992, included ban on sale of equipment for refining and transporting oil but excluded oil production equipment. Sanctions expanded November 11, 1993 to include freeze on Libya's overseas assets, excluding revenue from oil, natural gas, or agricultural products.

·         US Department of Energy to begin taking oil deliveries under plan to add 28 million barrels of oil to the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) from Federal oil royalty payments. Phase 1, SPR expected to acquire about 43 million barrels/day over 3 months from oil companies in Gulf of Mexico. About 50 percent of the oil in Phase 1 will be imported, domestic producers benefit from acquisition since oil market is international and fungible. Under Phase 2 DOE expects to get about 100 million barrels/day of royalty oil over 6-months.

·         An oil pipeline that transports oil from Baku, Azerbaijan, to Georgia, is officially opened. The second pipeline dedicated to exporting Caspian Sea oil, but first built since the Soviet Union disbanded in 1991. The other Caspian Sea oil pipeline, which runs through the Russian breakaway republic of Chechnya to the Russian port of Novorossiysk, is often shut down. The new pipeline to Georgia has a capacity of 100 million barrels per day.

·         The U.S. Department of Treasury Office of Foreign Asset Control notifies Mobil it turned down Mobil's request for a license to swap crude oil produced in Turkmenistan with Iranian oil. Mobil hoped to be allowed to ship oil from Turkmenistan to northern Iran oil refineries. Iran in turn, would provide Iranian oil from Iran's Persian Gulf export terminals to Mobil for shipment to global markets as payment. OFAC is responsible for enforcing U.S. unilateral sanctions against foreign countries. As a result of OFAC's denial, Mobil will have to continue exporting Turkmenistan oil production across the Caspian Sea by barge to Azerbaijan, where it’s carried by rail or pipeline to Black Sea ports.

 May 1999:

·         President Clinton unveils plan to apply same standard for tailpipe emissions to cars, light-duty trucks and most SUVs. Proposed plan would result in a 77% reduction for cars and 95% reduction for light-duty trucks and SUVs. New standards would be phased in from the 2004 to 2007 model years.

·         EPA proposed a rule to require refiners to reduce gasoline sulfur content from current average of nearly 330ppm to 30ppm. New sulfur standard proposed in conjunction with new tailpipe emission proposal since sulfur impedes catalytic converter efficiency, making it more difficult to reduce tailpipe emissions without reducing sulfur content in gasoline. Oil industry vows to protest proposed rule, claiming that it will cost refiners $3 billion to $6 billion. EPA estimates cost of compliance for both auto and oil industries between $3.4 billion and $4.4 billion.

·         Caspian Pipeline Consortium begins construction of 981-mile pipeline to carry crude oil from the Caspian Sea to Russian port of Novorossiysk for export to foreign markets. Pipeline's planned capacity is about 1.3 million barrels/day and is expecting to load the first tanker in mid-2001. 

·         EPA says it will not change its "Tier Two Plan" to cut gasoline sulfur content and tailpipe emissions, in response to a recent appellate court ruling that the EPA overstepped its mandate in implementing some provisions of the Clean Air Act.

·         Beginning 2004, Tier Two Plan would require refiners to cut gasoline sulfur content to an average down more than 90 percent from the current national average.

 June 1999:

·         Sudan starts pumping oil through its pipeline linking the Heglig oil field in Western Kordofan province to Port Sudan on the Red Sea. The pipeline has a capacity of 250 million barrels per day and was financed by a consortium of ChineseMalaysian, Canadian, and Sudanese firms.

 August 1999:

·         US Department of Commerce dismisses petition filed by Save Domestic Oil, Inc. under anti-dumping statutes. Petition alleged that Saudi ArabiaVenezuelaMexico, Iraq had sold crude to the US at artificially low prices.

 September 1999:

·         OPEC to maintain current production cuts until March 2000, despite fact crude oil prices doubled since 1999. OPEC announces current Secretary General will stay in office until March 2000. Follows vigorously contested race to succeed Lukman, in which OPEC's three largest members, Saudi Arabia, Iran, and Iraq fielded candidates.

·         Japan suffers serious nuclear accident at uranium processing plant; radiation released after apparent uncontrolled nuclear chain reaction. Three workers were injured. Japan issued warning for 310,000 people in to stay indoors.

 October 1999:

·         UN Security Council agrees to raise monetary ceiling on Iraqi oil sales continuing Iraqi production until the end date for the current six-month extension of the "oil-for-food" program. Move is a one-time adjustment; does not bind Security Council to continue a higher ceiling if the program is renewed for another six-month term.

 November 1999:

·         Turkey, Azerbaijan and Georgia sign agreement to build a pipeline to export crude from Caspian Depression.

·         The Federal Trade Commission approves proposed merger between oil giants Exxon and Mobil. $80 billion merger approved by FTC after firms agree to largest asset divestiture ever in a merger. Companies will sell over 2,400 retail outlets, mostly in the Northeast, Texas, and California, and a refinery in California.

 December 1999:

·         Export-Import Bank drops proposed $500 million loan to Russia's Tyumen Oil after Secretary of State Madeleine Albright exercised statutory authority to block it. Loan was controversial partly because of Tyumen Oil's dispute with BP Amoco over bankruptcy of Russian oil firm Sidanko, as BP Amoco owns a major stake.

·         Panama Canal Zone reverts to Panamanian sovereignty after nearly a century of American control. More than half-million barrels of crude and petroleum products transit the Canal each day.

·         After nearly two years of construction, ExxonMobil completes the Sable Offshore Energy Project, a $2 billion project to bring natural gas from fields offshore Nova Scotia to the northeastern US.

·         Russian President Boris Yeltsin makes a surprise announcement he’s resigning immediately. Vladimir Putin becomes Acting President; presidential elections to be held within 90 days; date to be set by the State Duma. Russia is the largest exporter of energy in the world.

World Trade Center Bombing 1993 – first attack

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1993_World_Trade_Center_bombing

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